Table of Contents

IDC FutureScape Figure

Figure: IDC FutureScape: Worldwide Enterprise Infrastructure 2020 Top 10 Predictions

Executive Summary

IDC FutureScape Predictions

Summary of External Drivers

Predictions: Impact on Technology Buyers

Prediction 1: By 2021, Demand for Flexible Consumption of On-Premises Infrastructure and IaaS Offerings Will Drive 10% of the Use of Low-Cost, Commodity-Based Offerings Within Datacenter Infrastructure

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 2: By 2021, Open Source CPUs Will Gain 5% Market Share in Niche Markets; over the Next Five Years, a Viable Open Source Contender — Not Including AI Chips — Will Emerge in the Datacenter

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 3: By 2022, NVMe Technologies — Including NVMe-Based All-Flash Arrays, NVMe Devices, and NVMe over Fabrics Host Connections — Will Drive 60% of All External Primary Storage Spending

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 4: By 2022, Every Enterprise Infrastructure Platform Will Have Hardware-Assisted Security with Capabilities Such as Silicon Root of Trust and Hardware-Based Encryption of Data in Use, at Rest, and in Flight

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 5: By 2023, over Half of All Infrastructure Spending by IT Buyers Will Be on IaaS, with Public Cloud IaaS Compute Representing More Than 25% of the Compute Footprint at an Average Enterprise

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 6: By 2023, 25% of the Fortune Global 500 Will Gain Competitive Advantage from Quantum Computing

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 7: By 2024, AI Will Be a Core Component of Enterprise Workloads; for 75% of Enterprises, 20% of Their Workloads Will Be AI-Based or AI-Enabled and 15% of the IT Infrastructure Will Be Accelerated for AI

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 8: By 2024, Software-Defined Infrastructure Solutions Will Account for 30% of Storage Solutions, Combining the Benefits of NVMe-oF, Hyperconverged Infrastructure, and Composable/Disaggregated Systems

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 9: By 2025, the Top 8 Infrastructure Hardware Buyers (Google, Amazon, Apple, Microsoft, Facebook, Baidu, Alibaba, and Tencent) Will Consume 50%+ of All of Server and Storage Infrastructure Deployed

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Prediction 10: By 2025, the Top Hyperscalers' Environment Will Be the Source of 95% of New Datacenter Infrastructure Technologies, Which Will Be Developed by Either the Hyperscalers or Their Customers

Associated Drivers

IT Impact

Guidance

Advice for Technology Buyers

Hybrid and Multicloud Use

Applications and Application Development

Organizational Structure, Skill Sets, and Staffing

External Drivers: Detail

The Age of Innovation: Driving the Future Enterprise

Description

Context

Accelerated Disruption: Navigating Business Challenges as Volatility Intensifies

Description

Context

The Platform Economy: Competing at Hyperscale

Description

Context

Crisis of Digital Trust: Escalating Threats Mandate Strategic Responses

Description

Context

Intelligence Everywhere: AI's Opportunity and Implications

Description

Context

Rising Customer Expectations: More Convenience, Customization, and Control

Description

Context

Geopolitical Risk: Societal and Economic Tensions Rise

Description

Context

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